The Bali Observer

Wednesday, 21 October 2026

BMKG Says Bali’s Dry Weather May Last Until November

BMKG said Bali’s hot, dry conditions should continue for about a week and may last until the rainy-season transition around November. El Niño and limited cloud cover are contributing factors.

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Editor: Mursyid Sonsang

· 2 min read

Open the larger photo. Illustration: Close-up view of dry, cracked reddish-brown soil.
Illustration: Close-up view of dry, cracked reddish-brown soil. · Photo: Rashed Paykary / Pexels

Denpasar — On Oct. 20, 2026, the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) said dry conditions across much of Bali were expected to continue for about one week and could persist until the transition to the rainy season around November.

The forecast covers Bali during the continuing dry season. BMKG attributed the heat and dryness to stronger solar exposure in southern Indonesia, limited cloud formation and a drier atmosphere associated with El Niño. The agency said the dry pattern was expected to continue until the end of the dry season or the transition toward wetter conditions.

For foreign residents and visitors, the forecast means that outdoor plans in Bali may take place during extended hot and dry weather. The conditions are relevant across much of the island, while Denpasar recorded temperatures of 34 degrees Celsius during the previous week, according to a separate report citing the Greater Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency Region III in Denpasar.

Dry weather may continue until Bali’s rainy-season transition

BMKG’s outlook described the coming week as predominantly dry in most parts of Bali. The agency also said that the rainy season was expected to begin around November, when the hot conditions would gradually ease in some parts of the island.

The heat is linked in part to the apparent movement of the sun farther south, which increases solar intensity over southern Indonesia, including Bali. The dry season has also limited cloud development, while El Niño has contributed to a drier-than-usual atmosphere.

A separate report from RRI, Indonesia’s public radio network, said hot and sunny conditions were expected to continue until November 2026 and that the start of the rainy season in parts of Bali was projected for November to December 2026. Neither report announced a closure, restriction or change to entry rules. The immediate development is the continuation of the weather pattern and BMKG’s forecast for the weeks ahead.

Sources

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