The Bali Observer

Monday, 21 September 2026

Bali’s 17-Item Food Basket: What 16 September Data Shows

Daily food-price data for Bali on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 show three of 17 monitored commodities rising, two falling and the rest unchanged.

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Editor: Mursyid Sonsang

· Event date: · 4 min read

Denpasar — — Bali’s retail food-price monitor recorded increases in three of 17 tracked food commodities on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, led by a rise in large red chilli, while two items declined and the rest were unchanged compared with the previous day, according to data compiled from the Ministry of Trade’s Staple Goods Market Monitoring System (SP2KP) and published by Databoks.

Databoks reports that the SP2KP snapshot for Bali was taken at 17:45 Western Indonesia Time (WIB) on 16 September 2026. Out of 17 monitored commodities, prices rose for large red chilli curly red chilli and shallots, while two items fell and 12 were flat day-on-day.

These figures describe short-term movements in selected market prices. They are not, by themselves, a direct measure of Bali’s overall inflation rate.

What changed on 16 September

According to the Databoks breakdown for Bali on 16 September, large red chilli recorded the biggest increase, rising by Rp333 or 1.41% to Rp23,963 per kilogram compared with the previous day.

The sharpest fall was recorded for bird’s-eye red chilli, which declined by Rp556 or 0.93% to Rp58,963 per kilogram. Honan garlic fell by Rp74, or 0.24%, to Rp30,358 per kilogram.

Shallot prices rose by Rp334, or 1.4%, to Rp24,272 per kilogram, while curly red chilli increased by Rp110, or 0.3%, to Rp36,753 per kilogram. The other main food items in the Bali list, including chicken meat, rice, cooking oil and sugar, were reported as unchanged from the previous day.

Selected average retail prices reported for Bali on 16 September 2026 include:

  • Broiler chicken meat: Rp43,395 per kilogram, unchanged day-on-day
  • Premium rice: Rp15,996 per kilogram, unchanged day-on-day
  • Medium-grade rice: Rp14,368 per kilogram, unchanged day-on-day
  • Premium packaged palm cooking oil: Rp21,991 per liter, unchanged day-on-day
  • Minyakita cooking oil: Rp15,678 per liter, unchanged day-on-day
  • Bulk granulated sugar: Rp17,747 per kilogram, unchanged day-on-day

Databoks notes that these prices are averages for the Bali region based on SP2KP monitoring, rather than quotations from a single market. The SP2KP overview on food prices describes the system as tracking staple goods across Indonesian regions for policy monitoring.

Why a daily increase is not automatically inflation

Bank Indonesia defines inflation as “a general increase in prices of goods and services over a period of time,” calculated from the consumer price index (CPI) compiled by Statistics Indonesia (BPS). Higher prices for one or two goods do not count as inflation unless the increase spreads to other goods or raises the prices of other items.

This distinction is important for interpreting the 16 September Bali food-price snapshot. Chilli and shallot prices can move quickly because food commodities are sensitive to harvest cycles, transport and distribution conditions, and other supply shocks. A single day’s price report shows the direction and scale of change on that day, but does not show whether the movement will persist, spread across the food basket or feed through to the wider CPI.

Bank Indonesia further explains that Indonesia’s CPI inflation is broken down into three components: core inflation, volatile food inflation and administered prices inflation. Volatile food inflation is predominantly driven by shocks in foodstuffs such as harvests, natural disruptions or domestic and international food-price developments. Administered prices inflation reflects government pricing policies for items such as subsidised fuel, electricity and transport fares.

Short-term movements in early September

Daily food-price data for Bali in early September 2026 underline how quickly individual commodities can move. On Tuesday, 8 September 2026, Databoks reported that five items in Bali saw price increases: Honan garlic, broiler chicken meat, curly red chilli, premium rice and medium rice. At the same time, several other commodities, including bird’s-eye chilli, recorded price declines.

Comparing the 8 September and 16 September snapshots, Databoks notes that chicken meat and rice prices were listed as unchanged on 16 September relative to the preceding day, even though their reported levels differed from those seen on 8 September. Across the two dates, the direction of price changes varied for individual commodities, with chillies and shallots showing notable day-to-day movements, while some cooking-oil and sugar prices remained flat on a daily basis.

Taken together, the available SP2KP data for Bali in early September 2026 support a cautious reading: there were short-term shifts in selected food prices, particularly chilli varieties and shallots, but these isolated daily changes do not, on their own, establish a sustained island-wide inflation trend under Bank Indonesia’s definition.

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